Friday 5 January 2018, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
33%
27%
40%
Home win
33.2%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
39.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Udinese | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Chievo / Udinese | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
8.5
|
6.7
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
12.8
|
8.7
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
7.8
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.4
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Udinese
1-0
Chievo
Sep 2018
Chievo
0-2
Udinese
Aug 2017
Udinese
1-2
Chievo
Feb 2017
Chievo
0-0
Udinese
Sep 2016
Udinese
1-2
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.