Sunday 10 December 2017, 13:30
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
14%
21%
65%
Home win
14.4%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
64.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 14.4% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Chievo / AS Roma | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
9.9
|
11.0
|
7.7
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
9.9
|
9.9
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.0
|
4.2
|
4.4
|
3.1
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-3
AS Roma
Sep 2018
AS Roma
2-2
Chievo
Apr 2018
AS Roma
4-1
Chievo
May 2017
Chievo
3-5
AS Roma
Dec 2016
AS Roma
3-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.