Saturday 28 April 2018, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
74%
17%
8%
Home win
74.5%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
8.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.4% | 5.73 | — | — |
| Chievo | 8.1% | 12.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Chievo | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
8.3
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.2
|
8.9
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
6.8
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-3
AS Roma
Sep 2018
AS Roma
2-2
Chievo
Dec 2017
Chievo
0-0
AS Roma
May 2017
Chievo
3-5
AS Roma
Dec 2016
AS Roma
3-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.