Sunday 15 April 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
37%
24%
39%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
38.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.7% | 6.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Lazio / AS Roma | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
5.4
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
10.4
|
8.3
|
4.7
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
8.2
|
6.9
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
4.5
|
3.8
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.9
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Sep 2025
Lazio
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2025
Lazio
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2025
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Apr 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Lazio
Nov 2023
Lazio
0-0
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.