Sunday 18 March 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
69%
18%
13%
Home win
68.6%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
13.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Bologna | 13.3% | 7.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.2% | 7.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Lazio / Bologna | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
8.1
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.5
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
7.8
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
4.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Bologna
0-2
Lazio
Dec 2025
Lazio
1-1
Bologna
Mar 2025
Bologna
5-0
Lazio
Nov 2024
Lazio
3-0
Bologna
Feb 2024
Lazio
1-2
Bologna
Nov 2023
Bologna
1-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.