Sunday 11 March 2018, 16:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
19%
20%
61%
Home win
19.0%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
61.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Lazio | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.5% | 2.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Lazio | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
5.8
|
7.4
|
5.8
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
| 1 |
2.9
|
8.5
|
9.4
|
7.4
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
5.1
|
5.9
|
4.7
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
2.1
|
2.5
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Cagliari
0-0
Lazio
Nov 2025
Lazio
2-0
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Lazio
Nov 2024
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-3
Lazio
Dec 2023
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.