Sunday 25 February 2018, 16:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
20%
21%
59%
Home win
19.8%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
59.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Lazio | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.3% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 36.0% | 2.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Lazio | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
6.4
|
7.7
|
5.8
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
3.3
|
9.1
|
9.6
|
7.1
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
5.3
|
5.9
|
4.4
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.2
|
2.5
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Sep 2025
Sassuolo
1-0
Lazio
May 2024
Lazio
1-1
Sassuolo
Oct 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
May 2023
Lazio
2-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.