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Sunday 21 January 2018, 16:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
34% 25% 40%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
40.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 34.4% 2.91
Draw 25.3% 3.96
Torino 40.3% 2.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.70
Over 1.5 81.6% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.4% 5.44
Over 2.5 59.0% 1.69
Under 2.5 41.0% 2.44
Over 3.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 3.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.5% 5.13
Under 4.5 80.5% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.9% 1.61
No 38.1% 2.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 59.7% 1.68
Sassuolo / Torino 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Torino 65.6% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
6.8
6.0
3.2
1.3
0.4
1
6.2
11.6
8.8
4.7
1.9
0.6
2
5.0
8.0
6.4
3.4
1.4
0.4
3
2.4
3.9
3.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
4
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.