Saturday 30 December 2017, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
75%
17%
9%
Home win
74.5%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
8.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 8.7% | 11.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 91.3% | 1.09 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Sassuolo | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
8.0
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.8
|
9.1
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.3
|
7.3
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Sassuolo
Oct 2025
Sassuolo
0-1
AS Roma
Mar 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Sassuolo
Dec 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
AS Roma
Mar 2023
AS Roma
3-4
Sassuolo
Nov 2022
Sassuolo
1-1
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.