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Saturday 23 December 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
47% 27% 26%
Home win
47.2%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
25.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 47.2% 2.12
Draw 27.2% 3.68
AS Roma 25.6% 3.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.00
Over 1.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.5% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.38
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 74.4% 1.34
Juventus / AS Roma 72.9% 1.37
Draw / AS Roma 52.8% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
7.3
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
10.8
12.9
6.5
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.8
9.3
4.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
4.4
4.7
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
1.7
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.