Friday 1 December 2017, 19:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
78%
16%
7%
Home win
77.7%
Draw
15.5%
Away win
6.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
| Spal | 6.8% | 14.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Spal | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
7.4
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.1
|
8.6
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.5
|
7.0
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
1-6
AS Roma
Dec 2019
AS Roma
3-1
Spal
Mar 2019
Spal
2-1
AS Roma
Oct 2018
AS Roma
0-2
Spal
Apr 2018
Spal
0-3
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.