Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45
Allianz Stadium
Full time
81%
14%
5%
Home win
81.0%
Draw
13.9%
Away win
5.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Spal | 5.1% | 19.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| No | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Juventus / Spal | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
6.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.4
|
7.8
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.0
|
6.6
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.2
|
4.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Spal
1-2
Juventus
Sep 2019
Juventus
2-0
Spal
Apr 2019
Spal
2-1
Juventus
Nov 2018
Juventus
2-0
Spal
Mar 2018
Spal
0-0
Juventus
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.