Saturday 23 September 2017, 19:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
11%
19%
70%
Home win
10.9%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
69.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 10.9% | 9.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Napoli | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Spal / Napoli | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
11.0
|
12.6
|
9.2
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
3.4
|
9.2
|
9.5
|
7.0
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
3.3
|
3.6
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
Napoli
3-1
Spal
Oct 2019
Spal
1-1
Napoli
May 2019
Spal
1-2
Napoli
Dec 2018
Napoli
1-0
Spal
Feb 2018
Napoli
1-0
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.