Sunday 17 September 2017, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
52%
25%
23%
Home win
52.4%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
23.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 23.1% | 4.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.8% | 5.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Spal / Cagliari | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
5.5
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
11.6
|
6.1
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.8
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
5.8
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
Spal
0-1
Cagliari
Oct 2019
Cagliari
2-0
Spal
Apr 2019
Cagliari
2-1
Spal
Nov 2018
Spal
2-2
Cagliari
Feb 2018
Cagliari
2-0
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.