Sunday 27 August 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
64%
20%
16%
Home win
63.5%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
16.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 16.0% | 6.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.0% | 6.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Cagliari | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
9.5
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.9
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
7.3
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
1-2
Cagliari
Jan 2026
Cagliari
0-1
AC Milan
Jan 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Nov 2024
Cagliari
3-3
AC Milan
May 2024
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Sep 2023
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.