Sunday 20 August 2017, 21:45
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
26%
30%
44%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
43.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.1% | 14.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Crotone / AC Milan | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
13.5
|
9.0
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
13.9
|
8.3
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
6.0
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
AC Milan
4-0
Crotone
Sep 2020
Crotone
0-2
AC Milan
Jan 2018
AC Milan
1-0
Crotone
Apr 2017
Crotone
1-1
AC Milan
Dec 2016
AC Milan
2-1
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.