Saturday 6 January 2018, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
61%
25%
15%
Home win
60.9%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
14.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Crotone | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.4% | 10.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 9.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Crotone | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 39.1% | 2.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.4
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
11.4
|
3.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
9.3
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
AC Milan
4-0
Crotone
Sep 2020
Crotone
0-2
AC Milan
Aug 2017
Crotone
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2017
Crotone
1-1
AC Milan
Dec 2016
AC Milan
2-1
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.