Saturday 23 December 2017, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
37%
28%
35%
Home win
36.8%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
35.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Atalanta | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
9.0
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
13.4
|
8.0
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.2
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.6
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Apr 2025
AC Milan
0-1
Atalanta
Dec 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Dec 2023
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.