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Monday 27 November 2017, 21:45 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
80% 14% 5%
Home win
80.4%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
5.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 80.4% 1.24
Draw 14.3% 6.99
Benevento 5.3% 18.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.97
Over 1.5 80.7% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.3% 5.19
Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.33
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 94.7% 1.06
Atalanta / Benevento 85.7% 1.17
Draw / Benevento 19.6% 5.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.9
6.7
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
15.3
7.9
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.8
6.6
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
8.0
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
4.0
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Benevento goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.