Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45
Sardegna Arena
Full time
69%
20%
10%
Home win
69.5%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
10.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Benevento | 10.3% | 9.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.0% | 7.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Benevento | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
9.5
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
9.2
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
6.3
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.