Sunday 22 October 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
74%
15%
11%
Home win
74.2%
Draw
14.8%
Away win
11.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.8% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 47.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.5% | 11.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.2% | 2.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Lazio / Cagliari | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
6.0
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
8.4
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
8.2
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
6.0
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
3.5
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Cagliari
0-0
Lazio
Nov 2025
Lazio
2-0
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Lazio
Nov 2024
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-3
Lazio
Dec 2023
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.