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Sunday 1 October 2017, 13:30 Stadio San Paolo Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
85% 10% 5%
Home win
84.9%
Draw
9.8%
Away win
5.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 84.9% 1.18
Draw 9.8% 10.23
Cagliari 5.3% 18.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.6% 1.01
Under 0.5 1.4% 69.20
Over 1.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 1.5 6.3% 15.75
Over 2.5 81.6% 1.23
Under 2.5 18.4% 5.43
Over 3.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 3.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 4.5 45.0% 2.22
Under 4.5 55.0% 1.82

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74
No 42.5% 2.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 94.7% 1.06
Napoli / Cagliari 90.2% 1.11
Draw / Cagliari 15.1% 6.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.4
0.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
4.0
4.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
7.5
6.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.8
7.9
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
7.8
6.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
5.5
4.9
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.