Sunday 1 October 2017, 13:30
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
85%
10%
5%
Home win
84.9%
Draw
9.8%
Away win
5.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.8% | 10.23 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 5.3% | 18.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.4% | 69.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.3% | 15.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Napoli / Cagliari | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.0
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
6.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.8
|
7.9
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.8
|
6.9
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.5
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli
Aug 2025
Napoli
1-0
Cagliari
May 2025
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Sep 2024
Cagliari
0-4
Napoli
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.