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Sunday 10 September 2017, 21:45 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
0–3
HT 0–0
15% 21% 64%
Home win
14.7%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
64.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 14.7% 6.82
Draw 20.9% 4.79
Napoli 64.4% 1.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.68
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.32
Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.9% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.4% 1.87
No 46.6% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 35.6% 2.81
Bologna / Napoli 79.1% 1.26
Draw / Napoli 85.3% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
9.6
10.8
7.6
4.0
1.7
1
3.8
9.9
9.9
7.0
3.7
1.6
2
2.0
4.3
4.5
3.2
1.7
0.7
3
0.6
1.3
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Napoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.