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Sunday 14 May 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
0–5
HT 0–1
27% 22% 52%
Home win
26.7%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
51.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 26.7% 3.75
Draw 21.5% 4.65
Napoli 51.8% 1.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.48
Over 1.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.9% 9.17
Over 2.5 71.9% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.1% 3.55
Over 3.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 3.5 48.9% 2.04
Over 4.5 31.8% 3.15
Under 4.5 68.2% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.2% 1.42
No 29.8% 3.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 48.2% 2.08
Torino / Napoli 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Napoli 73.3% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
4.8
5.7
4.2
2.3
1.0
1
3.2
8.6
8.9
6.4
3.5
1.5
2
2.9
6.3
6.8
5.0
2.7
1.2
3
1.5
3.2
3.5
2.6
1.4
0.6
4
0.6
1.2
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
5
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Napoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.