Sunday 23 April 2017, 13:30
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
19%
21%
60%
Home win
18.7%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
60.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Napoli | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 24.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.7% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Napoli | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
7.1
|
8.4
|
6.1
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
9.4
|
9.8
|
7.1
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
5.2
|
5.7
|
4.1
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
2.0
|
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Napoli
1-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2025
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
Sassuolo
1-6
Napoli
Aug 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sassuolo
Feb 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Oct 2022
Napoli
4-0
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.