Sunday 19 March 2017, 13:30
Carlo Castellani
Full time
10%
20%
70%
Home win
10.0%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
69.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 10.0% | 10.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
| Napoli | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.5% | 7.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 30.2% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Empoli / Napoli | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
13.4
|
14.3
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.5
|
9.1
|
6.2
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
1.4
|
2.8
|
2.9
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Napoli
3-0
Empoli
Oct 2024
Empoli
0-1
Napoli
Apr 2024
Empoli
1-0
Napoli
Nov 2023
Napoli
0-1
Empoli
Feb 2023
Empoli
0-2
Napoli
Nov 2022
Napoli
2-0
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.