Saturday 18 February 2017, 21:45
Carlo Castellani
Full time
18%
28%
54%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
54.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Lazio | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.4% | 5.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Empoli / Lazio | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
15.9
|
12.1
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
12.6
|
8.6
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
2.9
|
4.2
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Empoli
0-1
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
2-1
Empoli
May 2024
Lazio
2-0
Empoli
Dec 2023
Empoli
0-2
Lazio
Jun 2023
Empoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2023
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.