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Saturday 18 February 2017, 21:45 Carlo Castellani Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
18% 28% 54%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
54.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli 17.6% 5.68
Draw 28.2% 3.54
Lazio 54.2% 1.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.21
Over 1.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 2.5 36.8% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.4% 5.75
Under 3.5 82.6% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.51
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.8% 2.51
No 60.2% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli / Draw 45.8% 2.18
Empoli / Lazio 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Lazio 82.4% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
15.9
12.1
5.9
2.1
0.6
1
7.5
12.6
8.6
4.2
1.5
0.4
2
2.9
4.2
3.1
1.5
0.5
0.2
3
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Empoli goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.