Sunday 15 January 2017, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
47%
26%
27%
Home win
46.7%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
27.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Lazio / Atalanta | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
6.6
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
12.4
|
6.8
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
9.4
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Lazio
Apr 2025
Atalanta
0-1
Lazio
Dec 2024
Lazio
1-1
Atalanta
Feb 2024
Atalanta
3-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
3-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.