Sunday 8 January 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
35%
31%
34%
Home win
34.9%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
33.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 33.8% | 2.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.9% | 5.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Chievo / Atalanta | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
11.7
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
14.3
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
7.3
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Atalanta
1-1
Chievo
Oct 2018
Chievo
1-5
Atalanta
Feb 2018
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
Sep 2017
Chievo
1-1
Atalanta
May 2017
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.