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Saturday 26 November 2016, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
2–1
HT 2–0
64% 21% 15%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
15.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 63.8% 1.57
Draw 21.2% 4.72
Chievo 15.1% 6.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.32
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.24
Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.33
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.4% 1.87
No 46.6% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 84.9% 1.18
Torino / Chievo 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Chievo 36.2% 2.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
4.0
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
9.7
10.0
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.9
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
7.5
6.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.9
3.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.6
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.