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Sunday 23 April 2017, 16:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
1–3
HT 0–0
34% 24% 42%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
42.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo 33.5% 2.98
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Torino 42.2% 2.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.61
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.38
Over 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.6% 2.73
Over 3.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 3.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.1% 4.32
Under 4.5 76.9% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.2% 1.53
No 34.8% 2.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo / Draw 57.8% 1.73
Chievo / Torino 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Torino 66.5% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
6.0
5.7
3.3
1.4
0.5
1
5.2
10.7
8.8
5.1
2.2
0.8
2
4.5
7.8
6.7
3.9
1.7
0.6
3
2.3
4.0
3.4
2.0
0.9
0.3
4
0.9
1.5
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Chievo goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.