Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
41%
25%
33%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
33.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Chievo | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Chievo | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
6.3
|
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
11.8
|
7.9
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
8.9
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.7
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
0-3
Cagliari
Oct 2018
Cagliari
2-1
Chievo
Feb 2018
Chievo
2-1
Cagliari
Sep 2017
Cagliari
0-2
Chievo
Nov 2016
Chievo
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.