Sunday 28 October 2018, 16:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
46%
28%
27%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
26.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Chievo | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Chievo | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
7.7
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.1
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.1
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.5
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
0-3
Cagliari
Feb 2018
Chievo
2-1
Cagliari
Sep 2017
Cagliari
0-2
Chievo
Apr 2017
Cagliari
4-0
Chievo
Nov 2016
Chievo
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.