Saturday 22 September 2018, 16:00
Ennio Tardini
Full time
54%
26%
20%
Home win
54.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
20.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Parma / Cagliari | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
6.3
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
12.3
|
5.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.6
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
5.3
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Parma
1-1
Cagliari
Sep 2025
Cagliari
2-0
Parma
Feb 2025
Cagliari
2-1
Parma
Sep 2024
Parma
2-3
Cagliari
Apr 2021
Cagliari
4-3
Parma
Dec 2020
Parma
0-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.