Sunday 26 August 2018, 21:30
Sardegna Arena
Full time
38%
28%
34%
Home win
38.0%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
33.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Sassuolo | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
8.8
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
13.4
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.4
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
3.7
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Sassuolo
2-1
Cagliari
Oct 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Sassuolo
May 2024
Sassuolo
0-2
Cagliari
Dec 2023
Cagliari
2-1
Sassuolo
Apr 2022
Cagliari
1-0
Sassuolo
Nov 2021
Sassuolo
2-2
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.