Sunday 6 May 2018, 21:45
Sardegna Arena
Full time
13%
20%
67%
Home win
12.7%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
67.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 12.7% | 7.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Cagliari / AS Roma | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
10.0
|
11.5
|
8.4
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
| 1 |
3.6
|
9.5
|
9.8
|
7.1
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
1.7
|
3.8
|
4.1
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Cagliari
Dec 2025
Cagliari
1-0
AS Roma
Mar 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Aug 2024
Cagliari
0-0
AS Roma
Feb 2024
AS Roma
4-0
Cagliari
Oct 2023
Cagliari
1-4
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.