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Sunday 8 April 2018, 16:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
32% 27% 41%
Home win
32.5%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
40.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 32.5% 3.08
Draw 27.0% 3.71
Cagliari 40.6% 2.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.81
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.4% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.42
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.0% 1.79
No 44.0% 2.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 59.4% 1.68
Hellas Verona / Cagliari 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Cagliari 67.5% 1.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
8.7
6.9
3.3
1.2
0.4
1
7.6
12.8
8.8
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
5.3
7.7
5.6
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
2.3
3.3
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
0.7
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.