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Saturday 10 March 2018, 21:45 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
38% 29% 33%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
32.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 38.5% 2.60
Draw 28.7% 3.49
Chievo 32.8% 3.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.85
Over 1.5 71.5% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.5% 3.50
Over 2.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.1% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.6% 4.23
Under 3.5 76.4% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.51
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 67.2% 1.49
Hellas Verona / Chievo 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Chievo 61.5% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
9.2
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
10.2
13.6
7.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
7.1
8.3
4.9
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
3.1
3.6
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.0
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.