Sunday 25 February 2018, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
59%
23%
18%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
17.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Chievo | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.2% | 4.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Chievo | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
4.8
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
11.0
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Chievo
3-4
Fiorentina
Aug 2018
Fiorentina
6-1
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
2-1
Fiorentina
Jan 2017
Chievo
0-3
Fiorentina
Aug 2016
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.