Sunday 26 August 2018, 21:30
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
59%
23%
18%
Home win
58.7%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
17.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Chievo | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Chievo | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
11.2
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Chievo
3-4
Fiorentina
Feb 2018
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
2-1
Fiorentina
Jan 2017
Chievo
0-3
Fiorentina
Aug 2016
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.