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Sunday 20 May 2018, 19:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
54% 25% 21%
Home win
53.9%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
21.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo 53.9% 1.85
Draw 24.7% 4.04
Benevento 21.3% 4.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.81
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.45
Over 2.5 53.0% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.0% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 3.5 69.2% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.57
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.1% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chievo / Draw 78.7% 1.27
Chievo / Benevento 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Benevento 46.1% 2.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
5.6
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
10.1
11.8
5.7
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.8
5.1
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
5.6
5.8
3.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
2.5
2.6
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Chievo goals. Columns: Benevento goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.