Saturday 21 April 2018, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
74%
17%
9%
Home win
74.1%
Draw
17.0%
Away win
8.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Benevento | 8.9% | 11.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Benevento | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
8.1
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.2
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.1
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.