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Saturday 7 April 2018, 16:00 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
2–4
HT 1–2
4% 12% 84%
Home win
4.0%
Draw
11.8%
Away win
84.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 4.0% 24.96
Draw 11.8% 8.49
Juventus 84.2% 1.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.91
Over 1.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.1% 6.20
Over 2.5 63.1% 1.59
Under 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 3.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 3.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 4.5 77.1% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.6% 2.74
No 63.5% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 15.8% 6.34
Benevento / Juventus 88.2% 1.13
Draw / Juventus 96.0% 1.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
10.4
14.8
13.6
9.4
5.2
1
1.6
5.5
7.2
6.7
4.6
2.5
2
0.5
1.3
1.8
1.6
1.1
0.6
3
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.