Saturday 31 March 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
86%
10%
4%
Home win
86.1%
Draw
9.5%
Away win
4.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.5% | 10.49 | — | — |
| Benevento | 4.3% | 23.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.9% | 51.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.3% | 12.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 95.7% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Lazio / Benevento | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 13.9% | 7.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
6.9
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.7
|
7.7
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.0
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.