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Saturday 3 March 2018, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
25% 24% 51%
Home win
24.7%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
51.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 24.7% 4.05
Draw 23.9% 4.18
Juventus 51.4% 1.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.43
Over 1.5 82.1% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.9% 5.59
Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Over 3.5 37.4% 2.67
Under 3.5 62.6% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.1% 4.97
Under 4.5 79.9% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.5% 1.65
No 39.5% 2.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 48.6% 2.06
Lazio / Juventus 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Juventus 75.3% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
7.8
7.8
4.9
2.3
0.8
1
5.0
11.0
9.7
6.0
2.8
1.0
2
3.5
6.4
6.0
3.7
1.7
0.6
3
1.4
2.6
2.5
1.5
0.7
0.3
4
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.