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Monday 22 January 2018, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
78% 16% 6%
Home win
77.7%
Draw
16.4%
Away win
5.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 77.7% 1.29
Draw 16.4% 6.09
Genoa 5.9% 16.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.58
Over 1.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.7% 4.22
Over 2.5 51.7% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 3.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.3% 6.97
Under 4.5 85.7% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.6% 2.89
No 65.4% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 94.1% 1.06
Juventus / Genoa 83.6% 1.20
Draw / Genoa 22.3% 4.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
14.2
7.4
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.5
7.9
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.4
6.0
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
7.0
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.