Saturday 6 January 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
35%
30%
34%
Home win
35.4%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
34.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 13.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Genoa / Sassuolo | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
11.0
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
14.2
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
7.6
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Nov 2025
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
May 2024
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Dec 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
Jan 2022
Sassuolo
1-1
Genoa
Oct 2021
Genoa
2-2
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.