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Sunday 10 December 2017, 19:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
50% 27% 23%
Home win
50.0%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 50.0% 2.00
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Crotone 22.6% 4.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.55
Over 1.5 70.7% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.3% 3.41
Over 2.5 44.0% 2.27
Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.95
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.9% 2.09
No 52.1% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 77.4% 1.29
Sassuolo / Crotone 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Crotone 50.0% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
7.4
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
12.4
13.0
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.9
9.2
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.0
4.6
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.