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Sunday 19 November 2017, 16:00 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
19% 26% 56%
Home win
18.5%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
55.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 18.5% 5.40
Draw 26.0% 3.85
Sassuolo 55.5% 1.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.04
Over 1.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.4% 3.52
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.19
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.40
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.6% 2.15
No 53.4% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 44.5% 2.25
Benevento / Sassuolo 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Sassuolo 81.5% 1.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
13.0
11.2
6.1
2.5
0.8
1
6.4
12.2
9.5
5.2
2.1
0.7
2
3.0
4.9
4.0
2.2
0.9
0.3
3
0.8
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.