Sunday 29 October 2017, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
81%
13%
7%
Home win
80.6%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
6.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.7% | 7.88 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 6.7% | 14.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 37.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.7% | 9.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Napoli / Sassuolo | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
5.8
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
8.1
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.4
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Napoli
1-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2025
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
Sassuolo
1-6
Napoli
Aug 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sassuolo
Feb 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Oct 2022
Napoli
4-0
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.